Biogeography ▪ Conservation ▪ Macroecology ▪ Modelling ▪ Planning

Publications

2010

  1. Alagador, D., João Martins, M., Cerdeira, J.O., Cabeza, M. & Araújo, M.B. A probabilistic approach for matching species with reserves when data are at different resolutions. In review.
  2. Araújo, M.B., Alagador, D., Cabeza, M., Lafourcade, B., Nogués Bravo, D. & Thuiller, W. Climate change threatens European conservation areas. Science. In review.
  3. Araújo, M.B. & Peterson, A.T. Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modelling. Trends in Ecology and Evolution. In review.
  4. Araújo, M.B., Rozenfeld, R., Rahbek, C. & Marquet, P.A. Using species coexistence networks to assess the impacts of climate change. In review.
  5. Arponen, A., Cabeza, M., Eklund, J., Kujala, H. & Lehtomäki, J. 2010. Economics and Conservation Planning: Integration at What Cost? In review
  6. Baselga, A. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Do community models fail to project community variation effectively? Journal of Biogeography DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02341.x
  7. Baselga, A., Lobo, J.M., Svenning, J-C. & Araújo, M.B. Range circularity reveals non-climatic controls of species distributions. PNAS. In review
  8. Cabeza, M., Arponen, A., Jäättelä, L., Kujala, H., van Teeffelen, A. and Hanski, I 2010. Conservation planning for insects at different spatial scales. Ecography 33: 54-63.
  9. Chiarucci, A., Araújo, M.B., Decocq, G., Beierkuhnlein, C. &  Fernández-Palacios, J.M., The concept of Potential Natural Vegetation: an epitaph? Journal of Vegetation Science. In press.
  10. Cerdeira, J.O., Pinto, L.S., Cabeza, M. & Gaston, K.J. 2010. Species specific connectivity in reserve-network design using graphs. Biological Conservation 14: 408-15.
  11. Diniz-Filho, J.A.F. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Macroecologia e mudanças climáticas. in Biogeografia da América do Sul: Padrões e Processos (ed. C.J.B. Carvalho & E. Almeida). Editorial Rocha. in press
  12. Diniz-Filho, J.A.F., Nabout, J.C., Bini, L.M., Loyola, R.D., Rangel, T.F.L.B., Nogués-Bravo, D. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Ensemble forecasting and geographic range of Tropidacris cristata (Orthoptera: Acridoidea: Romaleidae) under climate change. Insect Conservation and Diversity 3: 213-221.
  13. Engler, R., Randin, C.F., Thuiller, W., Dullinger, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Araújo, M.B., Pearman, P.B., Le Lay, G., Piedallu, C., Albert, C.H., Choler, P., Coldea, G., de Lamo, X., Dirnböck, T. Gégout, J-C., Gómez-García1, D., Grytnes, J-A., Heegaard, E., Høistad, F., Nogués-Bravo, D., Normand, S., Puşcaş, M., Sebastià, M-T., Stanisc, A., Theurillat,J-P., Trivedi, M., Vittoz, P. & Guisan. A. Climate change threatens European mountain flora. In review.
  14. Fordham, D. A., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B. & Brook, B.W. 2010. Modelling range shifts for invasive vertebrates in response to climate change. Accepted.
  15. Garcia, R. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Planejamento para a conservação em um clima em mudança. Natureza & Conservação. In press
  16. Hof, C., Brändle, M., Dehling, D.M., Munguía, M., Brandl, R., Araújo, M.B., & Rahbek, C. The effect of habitat type on dispersal and species’ ability to cope with climate change. Biology Letters. In review.
  17. Hof, C., Levinsky, I., Araújo, M.B. & Rahbek, C. Rethinking species’ ability to cope with rapid climate change. In review
  18. Hof, C., Rahbek, C. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Phylogenetic signals in climatic niche similarity of the world’s amphibians. Ecography. 33: 242-250.
  19. Jansson, R., Keskitalo, K., Nilsson, C., Vlassova, T., Sutinen, M., Moen, J., Chapin III, F.S., Bråthen, K.A., Cabeza, M., Callaghan, T.V., Ims, R.A.,  Aspholm, P.E.  2010. Forecasting impacts of climate change on ecosystem services: applying new principles to assess the European north. In review.
  20. Kujala, H., Cabeza, M., Araújo, M.B. & Thuiller, W. Misleading results from conventional Gap analysis - messages from the warming North. In review.
  21. Meier, E.S., Araújo, M.B., Guisan, A., Kienast, F., Pearman, P.B., Svenning, J-C., Thuiller, W. & Zimmermann, N.E. Biotic and climatic variables show little overlap in explaining patterns of the realized niche. In review.
  22. Nenzém, H.K. & Araújo, M.B. Choice of threshold alters projections of species range shifts under climate change. In review.
  23. Olofsson, J., Hickler, T., Sykes, M.T., Araújo, M.B., Balletto, E., Berry, P.B., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Dubuis, A., Guisan, A., Kujala, H., Piper, J., Rounsevell, M., Settele, J., Thuiller, W. & Kühn, I. Climate change impacts on European biodiversity – observations and future projections. Biological Reviews. In review
  24. Munguía, M., Rahbek, C. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Equilibrium of global amphibian species distributions with climate. Global Ecology and Biogeography. In review.
  25. Nogués-Bravo, D., Aranda, I., Araújo, M.B., García, R., Kollmann, J., Martínez, I., Pulido, F., Svenning, J.-C., Valladares, F. and Zavala, M.A. Behind the curtain of species geographical ranges. In review.
  26. Nogués-Bravo, D., Ohlemüller, R., Batra, P. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Climate predictors of Late Quaternary Extinctions.  Evolution. doi:10.1111/j.1558-5646.2010.01009.x
  27. Pereira, H.M., Leadley, P.W., Proença, V., Alkemade, R., Scharlemann, J.W., Fernandez-Manjarrés, J.F., Araújo, M.B., Balvanera, P., Biggs, R., Cheung, W.W.L., Cooper, H.D., Gilman, E.L., Guénette, S., Hurtt, G.C., Huntington, H.P., Mace, G.M., Oberdoff, T., Revenga, C., Rodrigues, P., Scholes, R.J., Sumaila, U.R. & Walpole, M. Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century. Science. In review.
  28. Peterson, A.T.P., Soberón, J., Pearson, R.G., Anderson, R.P., Martínez-Meyer, E., Nakamura, M. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Ecological Niches and Geographical Distributions: A Modeling Perspective. Monographs in Population Biology. Princeton University Press. Accepted.
  29. Tamme, R., Inga Hiiesalu, I., Laanisto, L., Szava-Kovats, R. & Pärtel, M. 2010. Environmental heterogeneity, species diversity and coexistence at different spatial scales. Journal of Vegetation Studies. Accepted.
  30. Thuiller, W., Lavergne, S., Roquet, C., Boulangeat, I. & Araújo, M.B. Preserving the tree of life: consequences of climate change on European biodiversity. Nature. In review.
  31. Vohland, K., Hickler, T., Feehan, J., Gumpenberger, M., Araújo, M.B. & Cramer, W. 2010. Priority setting for nature conservation. In Atlas of Biodiversity Risk (eds. J. Settele, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnick, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, L. Penev, I. Kühn). Pensoft, Sofia, Moscow.
  32. Zobel, M., Otto, R., Laanisto, L., Naranjo-Cigala, A., Pärtel, & M. Fernández-Palacios, J.M. The formation of species pools: historical habitat abundance affects current diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography. Accepted