Biogeography ▪ Conservation ▪ Macroecology ▪ Modelling ▪ Planning
Publications
2010
- Alagador, D., João Martins, M., Cerdeira, J.O., Cabeza, M. & Araújo, M.B. A probabilistic approach for matching species with reserves when data are at different resolutions. In review.
- Araújo, M.B., Alagador, D., Cabeza, M., Lafourcade, B., Nogués Bravo, D. & Thuiller, W. Climate change threatens European conservation areas. Science. In review.
- Araújo, M.B. & Peterson, A.T. Uses and misuses of bioclimatic envelope modelling. Trends in Ecology and Evolution. In review.
- Araújo, M.B., Rozenfeld, R., Rahbek, C. & Marquet, P.A. Using species coexistence networks to assess the impacts of climate change. In review.
- Arponen, A., Cabeza, M., Eklund, J., Kujala, H. & Lehtomäki, J. 2010. Economics and Conservation Planning: Integration at What Cost? In review
- Baselga, A. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Do community models fail to project community variation effectively? Journal of Biogeography DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2699.2010.02341.x
- Baselga, A., Lobo, J.M., Svenning, J-C. & Araújo, M.B. Range circularity reveals non-climatic controls of species distributions. PNAS. In review
- Cabeza, M., Arponen, A., Jäättelä, L., Kujala, H., van Teeffelen, A. and Hanski, I 2010. Conservation planning for insects at different spatial scales. Ecography 33: 54-63.
- Chiarucci, A., Araújo, M.B., Decocq, G., Beierkuhnlein, C. & Fernández-Palacios, J.M., The concept of Potential Natural Vegetation: an epitaph? Journal of Vegetation Science. In press.
- Cerdeira, J.O., Pinto, L.S., Cabeza, M. & Gaston, K.J. 2010. Species specific connectivity in reserve-network design using graphs. Biological Conservation 14: 408-15.
- Diniz-Filho, J.A.F. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Macroecologia e mudanças climáticas. in Biogeografia da América do Sul: Padrões e Processos (ed. C.J.B. Carvalho & E. Almeida). Editorial Rocha. in press
- Diniz-Filho, J.A.F., Nabout, J.C., Bini, L.M., Loyola, R.D., Rangel, T.F.L.B., Nogués-Bravo, D. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Ensemble forecasting and geographic range of Tropidacris cristata (Orthoptera: Acridoidea: Romaleidae) under climate change. Insect Conservation and Diversity 3: 213-221.
- Engler, R., Randin, C.F., Thuiller, W., Dullinger, S., Zimmermann, N.E., Araújo, M.B., Pearman, P.B., Le Lay, G., Piedallu, C., Albert, C.H., Choler, P., Coldea, G., de Lamo, X., Dirnböck, T. Gégout, J-C., Gómez-García1, D., Grytnes, J-A., Heegaard, E., Høistad, F., Nogués-Bravo, D., Normand, S., Puşcaş, M., Sebastià, M-T., Stanisc, A., Theurillat,J-P., Trivedi, M., Vittoz, P. & Guisan. A. Climate change threatens European mountain flora. In review.
- Fordham, D. A., Akçakaya, H.R., Araújo, M.B. & Brook, B.W. 2010. Modelling range shifts for invasive vertebrates in response to climate change. Accepted.
- Garcia, R. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Planejamento para a conservação em um clima em mudança. Natureza & Conservação. In press
- Hof, C., Brändle, M., Dehling, D.M., Munguía, M., Brandl, R., Araújo, M.B., & Rahbek, C. The effect of habitat type on dispersal and species’ ability to cope with climate change. Biology Letters. In review.
- Hof, C., Levinsky, I., Araújo, M.B. & Rahbek, C. Rethinking species’ ability to cope with rapid climate change. In review
- Hof, C., Rahbek, C. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Phylogenetic signals in climatic niche similarity of the world’s amphibians. Ecography. 33: 242-250.
- Jansson, R., Keskitalo, K., Nilsson, C., Vlassova, T., Sutinen, M., Moen, J., Chapin III, F.S., Bråthen, K.A., Cabeza, M., Callaghan, T.V., Ims, R.A., Aspholm, P.E. 2010. Forecasting impacts of climate change on ecosystem services: applying new principles to assess the European north. In review.
- Kujala, H., Cabeza, M., Araújo, M.B. & Thuiller, W. Misleading results from conventional Gap analysis - messages from the warming North. In review.
- Meier, E.S., Araújo, M.B., Guisan, A., Kienast, F., Pearman, P.B., Svenning, J-C., Thuiller, W. & Zimmermann, N.E. Biotic and climatic variables show little overlap in explaining patterns of the realized niche. In review.
- Nenzém, H.K. & Araújo, M.B. Choice of threshold alters projections of species range shifts under climate change. In review.
- Olofsson, J., Hickler, T., Sykes, M.T., Araújo, M.B., Balletto, E., Berry, P.B., Bonelli, S., Cabeza, M., Dubuis, A., Guisan, A., Kujala, H., Piper, J., Rounsevell, M., Settele, J., Thuiller, W. & Kühn, I. Climate change impacts on European biodiversity – observations and future projections. Biological Reviews. In review
- Munguía, M., Rahbek, C. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Equilibrium of global amphibian species distributions with climate. Global Ecology and Biogeography. In review.
- Nogués-Bravo, D., Aranda, I., Araújo, M.B., García, R., Kollmann, J., Martínez, I., Pulido, F., Svenning, J.-C., Valladares, F. and Zavala, M.A. Behind the curtain of species geographical ranges. In review.
- Nogués-Bravo, D., Ohlemüller, R., Batra, P. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Climate predictors of Late Quaternary Extinctions. Evolution. doi:10.1111/j.1558-5646.2010.01009.x
- Pereira, H.M., Leadley, P.W., Proença, V., Alkemade, R., Scharlemann, J.W., Fernandez-Manjarrés, J.F., Araújo, M.B., Balvanera, P., Biggs, R., Cheung, W.W.L., Cooper, H.D., Gilman, E.L., Guénette, S., Hurtt, G.C., Huntington, H.P., Mace, G.M., Oberdoff, T., Revenga, C., Rodrigues, P., Scholes, R.J., Sumaila, U.R. & Walpole, M. Scenarios for global biodiversity in the 21st century. Science. In review.
- Peterson, A.T.P., Soberón, J., Pearson, R.G., Anderson, R.P., Martínez-Meyer, E., Nakamura, M. & Araújo, M.B. 2010. Ecological Niches and Geographical Distributions: A Modeling Perspective. Monographs in Population Biology. Princeton University Press. Accepted.
- Tamme, R., Inga Hiiesalu, I., Laanisto, L., Szava-Kovats, R. & Pärtel, M. 2010. Environmental heterogeneity, species diversity and coexistence at different spatial scales. Journal of Vegetation Studies. Accepted.
- Thuiller, W., Lavergne, S., Roquet, C., Boulangeat, I. & Araújo, M.B. Preserving the tree of life: consequences of climate change on European biodiversity. Nature. In review.
- Vohland, K., Hickler, T., Feehan, J., Gumpenberger, M., Araújo, M.B. & Cramer, W. 2010. Priority setting for nature conservation. In Atlas of Biodiversity Risk (eds. J. Settele, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnick, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, L. Penev, I. Kühn). Pensoft, Sofia, Moscow.
- Zobel, M., Otto, R., Laanisto, L., Naranjo-Cigala, A., Pärtel, & M. Fernández-Palacios, J.M. The formation of species pools: historical habitat abundance affects current diversity. Global Ecology and Biogeography. Accepted