Biogeography ▪ Conservation ▪ Macroecology ▪ Modelling ▪ Planning

Publications

2008

  1. Vohland, K., Hickler, T., Feehan, J., Gumpenberger, M., Araújo, M.B. & Cramer, W. 2009. Priority setting for nature conservation. In Atlas of Biodiversity Risk (eds. J. Settele, R. Grabaum, V. Grobelnick, V. Hammen, S. Klotz, L. Penev, I. Kühn). Pensoft, Sofia, Moscow. In press.
  2. Mitikka, V., Heikkinen, R., Luoto, M., Araújo, M.B., Saarinen, K., Poyry, J. & Fronzek, S. 2008. Predicting the northward range expansion of the map butterfly in Northern Europe using bioclimatic models. Biodiversity and Conservation 17: 623-641
  3. Nogués-Bravo, D., Lasanta, T. & Araujo, M.B. Climate warming in Mediterranean mountains during the XXIst century. Ambio 37: 380-385
  4. Ohlemüller, R., Anderson, B.J., Araújo, M.B., Stuart H. M. Butchart, S.H.M., Kudrna, O., Ridgely, R.S. & Thomas, C.D. 2008. Coincidence of climatic and species rarity: high risk to small-range species from climate change. Biology Letters. doi:10.1098/rsbl.2008.0097
  5. Rickebusch, S., Thuiller, W., Hickler, T., Araújo, M.B., Sykes, M.T., Schweiger, O., & Lafourcade, B. 2008. Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models. Biology Letters 4: 553-555.
  6. Araújo, M.B. & Luoto, M. 2007. The importance of biotic interactions for modelling species distributions under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 16, 743-753
  7. Dormann, C.F., McPherson, J.M., Araújo, M.B., Bivand, R., Bolliger, J., Carl, G., Davies, R., Hirzel, A., Jetz, W., Kissling, W.D., Kühn, I., Ohlemüller, R., Peres-Neto, P.R., Reineking, B., Schröder, B. Schurr, F.M. & Wilson, R. 2007. Incorporating spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of ecological species distribution data: a user’s guide. Ecography 30: 609-628 Appendix
  8. Körner, C., Donoghue, M., Fabbro, T., Häuser, C., Nogués-Bravo, D., Kalin Arroyo, M.T., Soberon, J., Speers, L., Spehn, E.M., Sun, H., Tribsch, A. Tykarski, P., & N. Zbinden. Creative use of mountain biodiversity databases: the Kazbegi Research Agenda of GMBA-DIVERSITAS. Mountain Research and Development. In press.
  9. Nogués-Bravo, D., Araújo, M.B., Martinez-Rica, J.P. & Errea, M.P. 2007. Exposure of global mountain systems to climate change. Global Environmental Change 17: 420-428.

2006

  1. Araújo, M.B. & Guisan, A. 2006. Five (or so) challenges for species distribution modelling. Journal of Biogeography 33: 1677-1688
  2. Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W., & Pearson, R.G. 2006. Climate warming and the decline of amphibians and reptiles in Europe. Journal of Biogeography 33: 1712-1728
  3. Heikkinen, R.K., Luoto, M., Araújo, M.B., Virkkala, R., Thuiller, W., & Sykes, M. 2006. Methods and uncertainties in bioclimatic modelling under climate change. Progress in Physical Geography 30: 751-777.
  4. López-Moreno, J.I., Nogués-Bravo, D., Chueca, F. and Julian, A. 2006. Glacier development and topographical context. Earth Surface and Landform Processes 31: 1585-1594.
  5. López-Moreno, J. I., Nogués-Bravo, D., Chueca-Cía, J. and Julián-Andrés, A. 2006. Change of topographic control on the extent of cirque glaciers since the Little Ice Age. Geophysical Research Letters 33: L24505 doi:10.1029/2006GL028204.
  6. López-Moreno, J.I. & Nogués-Bravo, D. 2006. Interpolating local snow depth data: an evaluation of methods. Hydrological Processes 20:2217-2232.
  7. Nogués-Bravo, D. & Araújo, M.B. 2006. Species richness, area and climate correlates. Global Ecology and Biogeography 15: 452–460
  8. Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W., Araújo, M.B., Martinez, E., Brotons, L., McClean, C., Miles, L., Segurado, P., Dawson, T. & Lees, D. 2006. Model-based uncertainty in species’ range prediction. Journal of Biogeography. 33: 1704-1711
  9. Segurado, P., Araújo, M.B. & Kunin, W. 2006. Consequences of spatial autocorrelation on niche-based models. Journal of Applied Ecology 43: 433-444
  10. Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Sykes, M.T. & Araújo, M.B. 2006. Using niche-based modelling to assess the impact of climate change on tree functional diversity in Europe. Diversity and Distributions12:49-60

2005

  1. Araújo, M.B. & Pearson, R.G. 2005. Equilibrium of species’ distributions with climate. Ecography 28: 693-695
  2. Araújo, M.B., Pearson, R.G., Thuiller, W., & Erhard, M. 2005. Validation of species-climate impact models under climate change. Global Change Biology 11: 1504-1513
  3. Araújo, M.B., Thuiller, W., Williams, P.H. & Reginster, I. 2005. Downscaling European species atlas distributions to a finer resolution: implications for conservation planning. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14: 17-30
  4. Araújo, M.B., Whittaker, R.J., Ladle, R.J. & Erhard, M. 2005. Reducing uncertainty in extinction risk from climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14: 529-538
  5. Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S. & Araújo, M.B. 2005. Niche properties as predictors of species sensitivity to climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography 14, 347-357
  6. Thuiller, W., Lavorel, S., Araújo, M.B., Sykes, M. & Prentice, I.C. 2005. Climate change threats to plant diversity in Europe. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA 102: 8245-8250

2004

  1. Araújo, M.B., Cabeza, M., Thuiller, W., Hannah, L. & Williams, P.H. 2004. Would climate change drive species out of reserves? An assessment of existing reserve-selection methods. Global Change Biology 10: 1618-1626